- JoeBlogs
- Posts
- How Am I Supposed to Know?
How Am I Supposed to Know?
It’s time for the JoeBlogs’ stream-of-consciousness baseball forecast for 2025 — with optimistic and pessimistic records, mustard thoughts, division predictions, and maybe Bob Owchinko
Joe Posnanski
March 27, 2025
Domínguez
It’s Baseball Preview Week here at JoeBlogs — one of my favorite weeks of the year! Here’s the lineup:
Today: It’s an Opening Day party!
Let’s get it started. (Ron Jenkins/Getty Images)
Welcome to Opening Day. I mean, OK, no, it’s not technically Opening Day since that happened in Japan like a week ago or more, who even remembers, but it’s Opening Day, and baseball is here, and as Sarah says, baseball is the best.
There are a million well-thought-out, expertly researched, painstakingly crafted baseball previews out there for you … and so you won’t get any of that here. Instead, you will get a bunch of stream-of-consciousness thoughts about teams and divisions and the game, and I’m not saying Bob Owchinko’s name will come up, but I am saying that Bob Owchinko’s name might come up.
I did prepare one thing for you: I looked at a whole bunch of season predictions — Joe Sheehan’s, Keith Law’s, PECOTA’s, Fangraphs’, ESPN’s, and others — and charted the variance for each team. In truth, there isn’t a whole lot of variance. Nobody picked the Marlins to win 95 games or anything. But there’s some variance, so what I did for you was create standings that show you the most optimistic and pessimistic records I found. I hope this will give you a nice range of expectations for each team.
After those, I just write whatever comes to mind.
Play ball!
Read the JoeBlogs Baseball Preview
With our Rod Carew 29% off Blowout sale going on, you can read all 5,509 words I wrote about the 2025 season — including the words “mustard” and “mustachioed” — plus everything else I do here, for less than $5 a month.
Already a paying subscriber? Sign In.
Reply